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Best of Howard Schwartz

Gaming Guru

 

Bob Frederick Books Provide College, Pro Football Angles

12 July 2006


There are many among the millions who bet football who just like concise past histories on which to base their wagers. If for example, a bettor knows that the Philadelphia Eagles are 6-1 against the spread vs. the Tennessee Titans since 1979 and that on Nov. 19 the Eagles host the Titans, then logic dictates to that player that he should bet the Eagles. Why waste time and energy trying to fit power ratings, injuries, momentum, offensive and defensive matchups and strength of schedule into a formula? For the bettor who wants his picks quick and easy, with not a lot of rationale and logic to munch on Bob Frederick's 2006 NFL Football Notebook Trend -- Side and Totals (74 pages, 8x11 plastic spiralbound, $34.95) is the way to go.

It's in its 20th edition, packed with 150 trends which are geared for those betting, as the title suggests, the pro sides or totals. The trends have a minimum efficiency of 70%. Many of them go back 20 years, some less. But it sure cuts to the chase for those entering contests or betting parlay cards who just want to lean on what's happened in the past, and hope it occurs again in '06.

What is unique about this book, is that it's presented in a "workout format," meaning you can see if an angle or trend is running hot, getting "choppy" (win-lose-win, etc.) or beginning to cool off altogether.

A clearly hot trend example is "Since 1999 the Jacksonville Jaguars start the season on a positive note going 7-0 in season openers." One which is showing signs of cooling off or breaking down is "Since 1998 the Dallas Cowboys show a record of 13-3 against the Washington Redskins. What has happened is that the Cowboys failed twice in 2005 to cover against the Redskins."

Frederick tells you when these "trend teams" will meet again in 2006 should you be waiting for that particular play. In this volume he also provides totals (over-under) angles. Example: Since 1991, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Philadelphia Eagles show seven under and two over, clearly two teams focusing on defense to win when they meet.

Frederick's 2006 College Football Trend Notebook (144 pages, 8x11 plastic spiralbound, $34.95) is in its 18th edition, containing 270 winning trends hitting at a minimum efficiency of 70%. The trend is recorded with a listing of when the specific teams have a meeting in 2006. On occasion there is some background on a team to underscore why the angle might repeat and in some cases it refers to the strength of schedule or number of returning starters. If you're wondering what type of surface a team will be playing on, it is listed as well.

The college version also offers the "workout format," showing you if a trend is hot or might be cooling off. An example of a short, hot one is "Since 2000, Iowa is ready when the season starts as they show a record of 6-0 in season openers." Iowa will open at home against Montana Sept. 2.

Some college angles go back to the 1980sā€¹others only a few years, but overall, a handy, time-saving shortcut to past history.

Howard Schwartz
Howard Schwartz, the "librarian for gamblers," was the marketing director for Gambler's Book Club in Las Vegas, a position he held from 1979 to 2010, when he retired. Author of hundreds of articles on gambling, his weekly book reviews appear in numerous publications throughout the gaming industry.

Howard Schwartz Websites:

www.gamblersbook.com
Howard Schwartz
Howard Schwartz, the "librarian for gamblers," was the marketing director for Gambler's Book Club in Las Vegas, a position he held from 1979 to 2010, when he retired. Author of hundreds of articles on gambling, his weekly book reviews appear in numerous publications throughout the gaming industry.

Howard Schwartz Websites:

www.gamblersbook.com